Aug 03, 2022
In Political Forum
Taiwan's central bank raised interest rates by 1 for the first time in 11 years [Join a member of Key Comments Network] Every day, wonderful and good articles are delivered directly to your mailbox, and you can enjoy exclusive weekly editorial selections, current affairs selections, art and literature weekly newspapers and other special electronic newspapers. You can also leave a message to discuss the content of the article with authors, reporters, and editors. Click to join for free now! The US Federal Reserve officially launched its first interest rate hike since the epidemic in the early morning of today (March 16), which means that the impact of the epidemic will come to an end, and the interest rate cycle will enter a new stage. In the future, the focus of the market will be on whether the economy continues to recover. In addition, the speed of tightening monetary policy and inflation will also affect market trends. As for whatsapp list which level the interest rate will rise this year or even next year, we can observe from the following two ways: Bitmap and meeting minutes The interest rate resolutions in March, June, September, and December each year will also investigate the expectations of each voting member for future interest rates. Each member's expectations are represented by a point, so a dot matrix diagram can be formed, as shown in the figure below. The latest published bitmap. a Author provided Observing the expectations of the 16 members for the interest rate at the end of 2022 (such as the red box), it can be regarded as quite divergent, and even one member radically believes that the interest rate should rise above 3% by the end of the year! Take the median result, that is, the average of the 8th and 9th members from the low ranking to the high (both are expected to be 1.75%~2.00%). In other words, after today's rate hike, there will be a total of 6 additional rate hikes until the 6 meetings at the end of the year, which is why we may see some reports that the rate will be raised by 1 yard at each meeting in the future. .